What is Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)?
Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is the constant annual rate that would turn a beginning value into an ending value over a multi-year period, assuming all gains are reinvested.
Finance teams use revenue CAGR, EBITDA CAGR, and free-cash-flow CAGR to compare performance across business units, evaluate strategic initiatives, and test whether growth exceeds the firm’s hurdle rate or weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
Because it smooths volatility, CAGR is ideal for long-term value-creation analysis, portfolio reviews, and tracking total shareholder return alongside other metrics.
Formula
Where:
- Beginning Value = starting level of the metric (e.g., revenue, EBITDA, investment value)
- Ending Value = ending level of the same metric
- n = number of years between the two observations
Example
A company’s revenue grows from $10,000 to $12,000 over 3 years.
Using the formula:
Interpretation:
- Revenue has compounded at 6.27% per year over the period.
- If the company’s WACC is 8%, this growth trail indicates value creation depends on improving margins, pricing, or mix rather than volume alone.
- If management’s strategic plan targets 10–12% revenue CAGR, the current trajectory sits in a “healthy but below target” range and may trigger adjustments in go-to-market, product, or capital allocation to close the gap.