What is Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)?
Discounted cash flow is a valuation framework that treats a business as the present value of its future free cash flows, adjusted for the time value of money and risk.
In corporate finance, DCF links operating performance and capital allocation (through free cash flow to the firm or free cash flow to equity) to value creation by converting projected cash flows into enterprise value and, after adjusting for net debt and other claims, equity value per share.
Because it makes every growth, margin, capex, and discount-rate assumption explicit, DCF is the core method for investment appraisal, capital budgeting, and comparing intrinsic value with market capitalization.
Formula
For a standard free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) DCF with a terminal value:
where is free cash flow in year , is the discount rate (typically WACC), and is the terminal value at the end of year .
Using a Gordon Growth terminal value:
where is the first cash flow in the terminal period and is the long-run growth rate (below the long-term growth of the economy for stability).
To move from enterprise value to equity value and value per share:
Example
Assume a company forecasts unlevered free cash flows (FCFF) of $20m, $22m, and $24m over the next three years.
The weighted average cost of capital \(r\) is 10%, and management assumes a conservative perpetual growth rate \(g\) of 2% after year 3.
- Discount the explicit FCFFs:
Year 1: m
Year 2: m
Year 3: m
Present value of explicit period m.
- Compute terminal value with the Gordon Growth formula using year-4 FCFF m:
m.
Discount back to today: m.
- Enterprise value is the sum of discounted FCFF and discounted terminal value:
m.
- If net debt is $40m and there are 100m shares outstanding:
Equity value m, implying an intrinsic value per share of about $2.44.
This structure lets an analyst flex FCFF, WACC, terminal growth, net debt, or share count to see how value creation flows through to enterprise value and equity value per share.