The Gordon Growth Model (GGM) — a specialized form of the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) — focuses on valuing stocks with steady, perpetual dividend growth. While our DDM calculator handles variable growth scenarios, this GGM calculator zeroes in on companies with predictable, long-term dividend increases, giving a cleaner snapshot of intrinsic value when stability is assumed.
Formula
The core formula is:
Where:
- = Intrinsic value (current stock price)
- = Dividend expected next year
- = Required rate of return
- = Constant dividend growth rate
If you only know the current dividend (D₀), the next dividend can be projected as:
Example
If a company paid a $55 dividend this year, expects a 4% annual growth rate, and investors require a 10% return:
So, the fair value per share would be $953.33.
Limitations
- The model assumes constant growth, which may not apply to all companies.
- It’s best suited for mature firms with stable dividend policies.
- It’s highly sensitive to small changes in and .