Estimate how quickly an investment is recovered using either:
Simple Payback (no discounting)
Discounted Payback (accounts for time value of money)
Works with fixed each period or irregular by period cash flows. Choose periodicity (monthly, quarterly, yearly) and an analysis horizon to cap the timeline.
How it works
1) Simple Payback
Equal cash flows:
Payback (in periods) = Initial investment ÷ Cash flow per periodUneven cash flows:
Add cumulative cash flow each period until it ≥ initial investment.
Fraction in recovery period = Remaining amount ÷ Cash flow in recovery period
2) Discounted Payback
Convert annual discount rate to per-period rate:
r_period = r_annual ÷ periods_per_yearDiscount each cash flow: PV_t = CF_t ÷ (1 + r_period)^t
Sum discounted cash flows until they offset the initial outlay.
Fraction in recovery period = Remaining ÷ Discounted CF in recovery period
Example
Initial investment: 10,000
Periodicity: Monthly
Cash flow per month: 3,000
Annual discount rate: 10%
Results:
Simple payback: 10,000 ÷ 3,000 ≈ 3.33 months (≈ 0.28 years)
Discounted payback: using 10% ÷ 12 per month → cumulative PV crosses 10,000 between months 3 and 4; fraction ≈ 1,147.6 ÷ 2,902.1 ≈ 0.40 → 3.39 months (≈ 0.28 years)